overbetting the turning

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Overbetting the turning

It is certainly profitable but far from optimal. PokerSnowie checks back with all the hands which have value at show down but are not strong enough to get multiple streets of value, if any; namely:. Those hands have chances at show down if the pot is checked down. If not, most of them are strong enough or can improve on the turn to bluff catch on one or two streets when villain is betting.

If hero Cbets with all his opening range, villain can profitably check raise for value with top pair, and therefore can bluff raise with a wider range. In the actual hand hero has only Jack high. Despite having a back door flush and a gut shot, the hand has no show down value and should be bet as a bluff.

There is no need to bet big at that point. He wants some action when he bets for value and to minimize the cost of his bluffs. An ace is known to be a good card for a barrel. And indeed, it is unlikely that villain called the Cbet with ace high. The standard play would be to double barrel with a sizing between half pot and pot. Here it is betting for twice the pot!

PokerSnowie keeps on polarizing its betting range and invites the big blind to play for his entire stack. This is clearly the situation here. Villain cannot have the nuts. The best hand in his range is a set of 9, his most likely hand is a pair. The main drawback of this strategy is that hero is no more able to double barrel for thin value.

It is not a big deal when we bluffed the flop with Ace high and catch top pair bad kicker. Checking back reinforces our bluff catching range on the river and we will still be able to get a second street of value if villain checks again. On this turn, PokerSnowie would not bet AK and double barrel for value only with a set. Your opponent perceives you as very aggressive. He is capable of bluff raising but not bluff calling, so his call tells you that he probably paired the Jack or holds a hand like Ace-high or a low pocket pair that can beat your bluffs.

The turn brings the 5d. This is a great spot to overbet for value. Most importantly, you have a hand that wants to play for stacks but a lot of money left behind. However, slightly overbetting the pot now will enable you to get all the money with only a slight overbet on the river. If he were to fold everything less than trips on the turn, then you could overbet bluff him every time and rob him blind.

Importantly, your hand is also big enough to welcome a raise. Against such opponents, you must also overbet bluff in similar spots. Suppose that in the example above, you held QT instead of K8. Because of all the draws on the board, you think he is not going to give up easily even with just Ace-high to a normal bet. Your only hope of getting your opponent to fold will be an overbet that represents a narrow but very strong range. The choice of QT for this example is significant.

The gutshot straight draw gives you some equity if you are called by a pair, and in fact the Q and T may be outs for you as well. But your draw is not so good that you lose a lot of value if forced off of it by a raise, since your opponent will very often have you in bad shape with trips if he raises. Against calling stations and less observant opponents, you can get away with overbetting only for value.

But against better players, you must balance your range with occasional overbet bluffs as well to prevent exploitation. When doing so, it is nice to have a semi-bluff that provides you with some additional value if your large bet is called. Bluff Inducing- This is the hardest type of overbet to pull off and the least useful, since many of your opponents will not often bluff-raise an overbet.

But against opponents who know you are capable of overbet bluffing, you may occasionally overbet with a big hand for the purpose of inducing a bluff-raise. The turn brings the 8d. Your opponent could have called the flop with almost anything: Ace-high, a gutshot, a pocket pair, or virtually anything else that he decided to float on an innocuous board with the intention of stealing the pot on a later street.

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The texture is rather dry and good for the under the gun range. Cbetting with all the opening range used to be a no brainer. It is certainly profitable but far from optimal. PokerSnowie checks back with all the hands which have value at show down but are not strong enough to get multiple streets of value, if any; namely:.

Those hands have chances at show down if the pot is checked down. If not, most of them are strong enough or can improve on the turn to bluff catch on one or two streets when villain is betting. If hero Cbets with all his opening range, villain can profitably check raise for value with top pair, and therefore can bluff raise with a wider range.

In the actual hand hero has only Jack high. Despite having a back door flush and a gut shot, the hand has no show down value and should be bet as a bluff. There is no need to bet big at that point. He wants some action when he bets for value and to minimize the cost of his bluffs.

An ace is known to be a good card for a barrel. And indeed, it is unlikely that villain called the Cbet with ace high. The standard play would be to double barrel with a sizing between half pot and pot. Here it is betting for twice the pot! PokerSnowie keeps on polarizing its betting range and invites the big blind to play for his entire stack. This is clearly the situation here. Villain cannot have the nuts.

The best hand in his range is a set of 9, his most likely hand is a pair. The main drawback of this strategy is that hero is no more able to double barrel for thin value. It is not a big deal when we bluffed the flop with Ace high and catch top pair bad kicker. A good rule of thumb about overbetting is that the larger your bet, the more likely it is to induce a raise-or-fold response from your opponent and the less likely it is to be simply called.

How exactly you use that information will depend on factors like your hand, your opponent, and the size of the effective stacks. Here are a few possibilities to get you thinking:. Value Betting- Overbetting is most commonly used to induce a call. To the extent that overbetting is employed at all in most games today, it is generally done with a big hand on the river. This makes sense, since you should usually have a big hand when you voluntarily put money in the pot. Though a little trickier, overbetting for value on earlier streets is a perfectly viable option.

The catch is that opponents may not be as inclined to call a big bet on the turn as they would be on the river, since they still have to fear another big bet from you on the river. Thus, overbetting for value on earlier streets will be most useful in situations where you believe your opponent to have a reasonably strong hand and you have a hand far stronger than what you think he puts you on.

The flop comes 8s 8d Js. Your opponent perceives you as very aggressive. He is capable of bluff raising but not bluff calling, so his call tells you that he probably paired the Jack or holds a hand like Ace-high or a low pocket pair that can beat your bluffs. The turn brings the 5d. This is a great spot to overbet for value. Most importantly, you have a hand that wants to play for stacks but a lot of money left behind.

However, slightly overbetting the pot now will enable you to get all the money with only a slight overbet on the river. If he were to fold everything less than trips on the turn, then you could overbet bluff him every time and rob him blind. Importantly, your hand is also big enough to welcome a raise. Against such opponents, you must also overbet bluff in similar spots. Suppose that in the example above, you held QT instead of K8.

Because of all the draws on the board, you think he is not going to give up easily even with just Ace-high to a normal bet. Your only hope of getting your opponent to fold will be an overbet that represents a narrow but very strong range.

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Prahlad Friedman, arguably the first online poker star, who crushed the high stakes cash games ten years ago, was well known to implement this strategy. And the rise of Viktor Blum aka Isildur made the move popular. Nowadays it is rather common to see regulars over-betting the river.

But over-bets on previous streets are only seen in very high stakes cash games and heads up matches. This article will go through a deep hand analysis with PokerSnowie to understand when it is correct to over-bet. Hero is under the gun with 6 players around the table. The texture is rather dry and good for the under the gun range. Cbetting with all the opening range used to be a no brainer.

It is certainly profitable but far from optimal. PokerSnowie checks back with all the hands which have value at show down but are not strong enough to get multiple streets of value, if any; namely:. Those hands have chances at show down if the pot is checked down. If not, most of them are strong enough or can improve on the turn to bluff catch on one or two streets when villain is betting.

If hero Cbets with all his opening range, villain can profitably check raise for value with top pair, and therefore can bluff raise with a wider range. In the actual hand hero has only Jack high. Despite having a back door flush and a gut shot, the hand has no show down value and should be bet as a bluff. There is no need to bet big at that point. He wants some action when he bets for value and to minimize the cost of his bluffs.

An ace is known to be a good card for a barrel. And indeed, it is unlikely that villain called the Cbet with ace high. The standard play would be to double barrel with a sizing between half pot and pot. Here it is betting for twice the pot! Plus, because he would check-raise some of his T8s, 88 and 33 hands on the flop, our nut advantage has gotten even bigger.

We will balance this range by barreling a number of bluffs, and on this board there are many to choose from. Way too many, actually. If we were to bluff all our straight draws, flush draws and overcards with a heart, we would end up drastically over-bluffing. Keep that in mind and use these hands only at some frequency. Generally, the bigger your nut advantage is, the larger you can go with the sizing. There really is No Limit. As a great rule of thumb, you will often want to use overbets on cards that complete straights which our opponent just cannot have.

In this example, we are talking about up to 20 combos of nutted hands in our favor, which is a massive difference. Therefore , with twice the pot left in effective stacks, we can now easily bluff jam this river. Note that the value of this spot does not really come from the bluff itself. Having bluffs like these gives our opponent an incentive to call when we actually do have one of those nutted hands.

And that, as we have shown above, is going to happen a lot. Our opponent looked us up with two pair this time, which is quite standard. It is a sad ending to a fun hand, but remember that these situations will be more than compensated for by all those times we get to show him better two pair, sets and straights. This is simply because the top of our range is better than the top pair of his range.

This is an interesting example of a flop that gives us a slight nut advantage. We do outperform our opponent in the number of sets. However, he has almost all of the two-pair and straight combinations, while we should have folded preflop with at least some of the offsuit combinations such as Q9o from the cutoff. By betting only one-third of the pot with his entire range, he gives his opponent a good reason to check-raise at least some of his strongest hands to build the pot.

Now that our range advantage is clear, Fried starts overbetting on the turn. I mean, just imagine overbetting on the turn with AT and seeing that jack peel on the river. The river is not a Jack, though. It is a deuce, and the deuce on the river does what deuces on the river usually do — change nothing.

With our JT we are looking to play for all the chips with an overbet of three times the pot. With that said, Fried points out that there are multiple sizings you can and should choose on both turn and river. A hand like KQ, for instance, may not be good enough to shove on the river with, but might still want to overbet to a smaller degree. We start with another c-bet, which we can do with our entire range or close to it on the flop.

When our opponent just calls, our nut advantage strengthens once again. We are, of course, the only player in the pot who can have these hands.

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Join us on this fascinating journey, which is just starting, into the future of poker. PokerSnowie's ultimate aim is to find the ultimate un-exploitable equilibrium for all No Limit Hold'em configurations. You are here. The PokerSnowie Video Quiz series aims to answer the question: "what is the right play? In each video, Sharp sets up an interesting hand in the "Scenarios" tool of PokerSnowie and explains how to analyse the situation and learn from PokerSnowie's advice, based on the Game Theory Optimal model.

In the last article we looked at how PokerSnowie can help us decide when to bet small and when to bet big. In this one we will dig a bit deeper and look at over-bets. Prahlad Friedman, arguably the first online poker star, who crushed the high stakes cash games ten years ago, was well known to implement this strategy.

And the rise of Viktor Blum aka Isildur made the move popular. Nowadays it is rather common to see regulars over-betting the river. But over-bets on previous streets are only seen in very high stakes cash games and heads up matches. This article will go through a deep hand analysis with PokerSnowie to understand when it is correct to over-bet.

Hero is under the gun with 6 players around the table. The texture is rather dry and good for the under the gun range. Cbetting with all the opening range used to be a no brainer. It is certainly profitable but far from optimal.

PokerSnowie checks back with all the hands which have value at show down but are not strong enough to get multiple streets of value, if any; namely:. Those hands have chances at show down if the pot is checked down. If not, most of them are strong enough or can improve on the turn to bluff catch on one or two streets when villain is betting. If hero Cbets with all his opening range, villain can profitably check raise for value with top pair, and therefore can bluff raise with a wider range.

In the actual hand hero has only Jack high. We do outperform our opponent in the number of sets. However, he has almost all of the two-pair and straight combinations, while we should have folded preflop with at least some of the offsuit combinations such as Q9o from the cutoff.

By betting only one-third of the pot with his entire range, he gives his opponent a good reason to check-raise at least some of his strongest hands to build the pot. Now that our range advantage is clear, Fried starts overbetting on the turn. I mean, just imagine overbetting on the turn with AT and seeing that jack peel on the river. The river is not a Jack, though. It is a deuce, and the deuce on the river does what deuces on the river usually do — change nothing.

With our JT we are looking to play for all the chips with an overbet of three times the pot. With that said, Fried points out that there are multiple sizings you can and should choose on both turn and river. A hand like KQ, for instance, may not be good enough to shove on the river with, but might still want to overbet to a smaller degree. We start with another c-bet, which we can do with our entire range or close to it on the flop. When our opponent just calls, our nut advantage strengthens once again.

We are, of course, the only player in the pot who can have these hands. That is a bucketload of value, to the point where we are actually going to struggle to find enough bluffs to balance this out. To quote Fried:. We have so many strong hands that Villain does not have that we really have the incentive to jam a lot of our range. In general, you do not want to overbet hands that block a missed flush draw, but because this was such an amazing runout for us, I figured I have to bluff my T-8 here even though we hold the eight of hearts.

So, you can see that on occasion the nut advantage can be so significant that we get to bluff jam what would normally be a terrible bluffing hand. Overbetting is a fantastic way to maximize your winnings with really strong hands and put your opponents in truly hideous situations.

The hand features a couple of interesting overbets. Note: Learn step-by-step how to become the best player at the table when you join the Upswing Lab training course. Elite pros have been adding new content every week for the past four years, and you get all of it when you join. Learn more now!

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